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You are here: Home / Annuity Commentary / Is Strong Growth from Annuities Likely in The Looming Bear Market?

Is Strong Growth from Annuities Likely in The Looming Bear Market?

September 12, 2015 By Annuity Guys®

Strong growth is a matter of perspective, and when your basis of comparison is a decrease of 20 to 30 percent, even zero growth is strong by a matter of comparison.

Many economist and market watchers have been proclaiming an end to the bull market for months and the recent drops have sent many investors scrambling for safety. Now that we have seen many indexes drop into “correction level” (a polite way of saying they have lost 10%) the big question is … [continued below video]

Video: Watch as Annuity Guys, Dick and Eric, discuss the growth potential of annuities in a declining stock market…

 Guarantees, including optional benefits, are backed by the claims-paying ability of the issuer, and may contain limitations, including surrender charges, which may affect policy values. During this segment, Dick and Eric are referring to Fixed Annuities unless otherwise specified.

[continued below]…are we poised for a new bull run or are we in for a more serious drop of another 10 to 20 percent or even far more?

Can you get strong growth from an annuity during a bear market? Certainly! You can even utilize a fixed annuity and typically **guarantee a fixed return of 2 to 3 percent at present rates. However, a fixed index annuity (hybrid style) can benefit from resetting during a bear market, which typically creates more growth potential because fixed index annuities can reset to a new lower indexing point during a bear market – they do not have to grow back to their high point to begin accumulating gains. According to various studies of past performance, index annuities have the realistic potential to earn from 4 to 6% interest annually while protecting principal!

Trying to time the market can be extremely difficult for professionals, especially for individual investors. Riding out a bear market for some is “un-bearable” – they cannot handle the emotional roller coaster. Annuities can be an answer for those people hoping to move a portion of their portfolio into a safer financial growth alternative – safer option that offers a far greater upside potential than just sitting in cash or riding a market down.

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Read more on this subject in this article:

 Shiller: Average CAPE Ratio Puts S&P at 1,300, Dow at 11,000

Nobel laureate economist Robert Shiller of Yale University says his indicator shows that the current stock market values are overinflated and will only crash even lower.

Shiller invented the cyclically adjusted price to earnings ratio (CAPE), a key indicator for stock market crashes.

“It is entirely plausible that the shaking of investor complacency in recent days will, despite intermittent rebounds, take the market down significantly,” Shiller wrote in the New York Times.

According to Shiller’s CAPE ratio, the stock market is significantly overvalued. The metric modifies historical price-earnings ratios to account for business cycles. Between 1881 and 2015, CAPE averaged a ratio of 17, well below today’s reading of 27.

“Levels higher than that have occurred very few times, including the years surrounding the stock market peaks of 1929, 2000 and 2007. In all three of these instances, the stock market eventually collapsed,” he said.

Shiller said his indicator would put the S&P closer to 1,300 from around 1,988 on Friday, and the Dow at 11,000 from around 16,643.

“We are in a rare and anxious “just don’t know” situation, where the stock market is inherently risky because of unstable investor psychology,” he said.

“There are reasons to question whether this was a quick, effective slap on the wrist, or if the market is still too overactive, and thus asking for a more extended punishment,” he said.

“Ten percent drops in the S&P 500 in just five trading days — such as what we just experienced — have not been common. Out of the 29 corrections since 1950, only nine happened in five days or less,” he said.

“Most of those happened since 2000, possibly because of the Internet and faster communications. Such rare sharp drops are psychologically significant; an extreme one-day collapse seems to create anxiety that imprints on people’s memories and could contribute to a downward momentum.”

The CAPE is a valuation measure usually applied to the US S&P 500 equity market. It is defined as price divided by the average of ten years of earnings (Moving average), adjusted for inflation. As such, it is principally used to assess likely future returns from equities over timescales of 10 to 20 years, with higher than average CAPE values implying lower than average long-term annual average returns.

All of the recent market volatility could help drive investors away from stocks for years, says ace hedge fund manager Doug Kass, president of Seabreeze Partners Management. [Read More at NewsMax]

 

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Filed Under: Annuity Commentary, Annuity Guys Blog, Annuity Guys Video, Annuity Returns, Annuity Safety, Retirement Tagged With: annuities, Annuity, Bear Market, Fixed Indexed Annuities, Hybrid Annuity, Indexed Annuity, retirement, Safety

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  ** Guarantees, including optional benefits, are backed by the claims-paying ability of the issuer, and may contain limitations, including surrender charges, which may affect policy values. Annuities are not FDIC insured and it is possible to lose money.
Annuities are insurance products that require a premium to be paid for purchase.
Annuities do not accept or receive deposits and are not to be confused with bank issued financial instruments.
During all video segments, Dick and Eric are referring to Fixed Annuities unless otherwise specified.


  *Retirement Planning and annuity purchase assistance may be provided by Eric Judy or by referral to a recommended, experienced, Fiduciary Investment Advisor in helping Annuity Guys website visitors. Dick Van Dyke semi-retired from his Investment Advisory Practice in 2012 and now focuses on this educational Annuity Guys Website. He still maintains his insurance license in good standing and assists his current clients.
Annuity Guys' vetted and recommended Fiduciary Financial Planners are required to be properly licensed in assisting clients with their annuity and retirement planning needs. (Due diligence as a client is still always necessary when working with any advisor to check their current standing.)



  # Investors should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses of a variable annuity and its underlying investment options. The current prospectus and underlying prospectuses, which are contained in the same document, provide this and other important information. Please contact an Investment Professional or the issuing Company to obtain the prospectuses. Please read the prospectuses carefully before investing or sending money.


  ^ Investors should consider investment objectives, risk, charges, and expenses carefully before investing. This and other important information is contained in the fund prospectuses and summary prospectuses, which can be obtained from a financial professional and should be read carefully before investing.


  ^ Eric Judy offers advisory services through Client One Securities, LLC an Investment Advisor. Annuity Guys Ltd. and Client One Securities, LLC are not affiliated.


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